Forecast visualisation (United Kingdom)

Forecast visualisations. The date of the tab marks the date on which a forecast was made.

2021-07-19

Cases

Deaths

2021-07-12

Cases

Deaths

2021-07-05

Cases

Deaths

2021-06-28

Cases

Deaths

2021-06-21

Cases

Deaths

2021-06-14

Cases

Deaths

2021-06-07

Cases

Deaths

2021-05-31

Cases

Deaths

2021-05-24

Cases

Deaths

2021-05-17

Cases

Deaths

2021-05-10

Cases

Deaths

2021-05-03

Cases

Deaths

2021-04-26

Cases

Deaths

2021-04-19

Cases

Deaths

2021-04-12

Cases

Deaths

2021-04-05

Cases

Deaths

2021-03-29

Cases

Deaths

2021-03-22

Cases

Deaths

2021-03-15

Cases

Deaths

2021-03-08

Cases

Deaths


Forecast scores (United Kingdom)

Scores separated by target and forecast horizon.

Cases

1 week ahead horizon

2 weeks ahead horizon

3 weeks ahead horizon

4 weeks ahead horizon

Deaths

1 week ahead horizon

2 weeks ahead horizon

3 weeks ahead horizon

4 weeks ahead horizon


Evaluation metrics


Scores over time (United Kingdom)

Visualisation of the weighted interval score over time. In addition, the components of the interval score, sharpness (how narrow are forecasts - smaller is better), and penalties for underprediction and overprediction are shown. Scores are again separated by forecast horizon

1 week ahead horizon

Weighted interval score

Overprediction

Underprediction

Sharpness

2 weeks ahead horizon

Weighted interval score

Overprediction

Underprediction

Sharpness

3 weeks ahead horizon

Weighted interval score

Overprediction

Underprediction

Sharpness

4 weeks ahead horizon

Weighted interval score

Overprediction

Underprediction

Sharpness

If you want to learn more about a model, you can go the the ‘data-processed’-folder of the European Forecast Hub github repository, select a model and access the metadata file with further information provided by the model authors.